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比特币涨破 4,700 美元,莱特币今年飙 1400%

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比特币涨破 4,700 美元,莱特币今年飙 1400%
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朝鲜周二 29 日发射的飞弹一路越过日本领空,带动比特币短暂飙破 4,700 美元历史高,显示部分投资人相信,比起法定货币,虚拟货币更加具有避险的吸引力。
MarketWatch、CNBC、Business Insider 等外电报导,CoinDesk 报价显示,比特币 29 日盘中最高一度上衝 6.5% 至 4,703.42 美元,刷新历史高,使 8 月涨幅直逼 70%,直到下午才拉回至 4,603 美元附近,但年初迄今仍已经有超过 4 倍的涨幅。

机构法人对比特币愈来愈感兴趣。金融研究机构 Autonomous Next 29 日发表研究报告指出,目前已有 55 档跟虚拟货币有关的基金正式成立。

根据 CryptoCompare 的调查,日本、南韩投资人对比特币、以太币的需求强劲,日圆、韩圈对比特币的交易佔比接近 5 成,而韩圈对以太币的交易佔比也有 22%。

虽然比特币不断爆衝,但不少投资人认为,报价距离天花板还远得很。Business Insider 8 月 7 日报导,比特币投资人兼哈佛学者 Dennis Porto 在接受电邮专访时分析,自从比特币开始交易以来,报价每 8 个月就会倍增一次,相当类似晶片业的「摩尔定律」(Moore’s law,指 IC 上可容纳的电晶体数目,约每隔 18 个月便会增加一倍,性能也将提升一倍)。

Porto 直指,任何一种呈几何级数成长的科技,都有特定的倍增时间,照这麽下去,比特币迟早有一天会出现 10 万美元的历史天价。

另一虚拟货币「莱特币」(Litecoin)则在週一衝至历史高 64.2 美元,自 1 月首度以 4.33 美元交易至今,涨幅已高达 1383%;週二略为拉回至 62 美元。

 

根据 Coinmarketcap.com 估算,莱特币总市值有 32.8 亿美元,是全球第五大虚拟货币,仅次于瑞波币(ripple)、从比特币分割出来的 Bitcoin Cash、以太币和传统比特币。莱特币的供应量限制在 8,400 万个,高于比特币的 2,100 万个,而在外流通的莱特币目前则有 52,679,982 个,超越比特币的 16,530,563 个。

莱特币创办人 Charlie Lee 最近在接受部落客 Crypto Hedge 专访时解释,莱特币在电子支付中将扮演重要角色,至于比特币则比较著重保值。他认为,比特币不但建构的网路最强、安全度最高,市场投入的挖矿资金也最大,将是永远的标竿;莱特币则提供一个利基,适用于电子支付。

许多虚拟货币投资人相信,比特币将成为「数位黄金」,因为其供应有限。然而,CNBC 29 日报导,CoinMarketCap 统计显示,全球目前有 7.5 兆美元的黄金在现实世界中流通,所有虚拟货币的总值却仅有 1,600 亿美元,其中规模最大的比特币,市值才接近 750 亿美元。也就是说,比特币想要取代黄金,还有很长的路要走。

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